"Is You Ready?"

Hi There! July is a significant month on the calendar, providing a valuable chance to reflect, review, and realign annual goals. It's the perfect time to ensure progress and make essential adjustments to achieve those goals. As the second half approaches, many investors and traders take this opportunity to carefully evaluate and update their trading plans, portfolios, and strategies. They assess what worked, what didn't, and where they need to improve to enhance their approaches.

Alright, let’s dig in!

We should closely analyze the market and assess the performance of the first half of 2023. The Nasdaq, which heavily relies on technology, had its biggest first-half surge since 1983. Despite the banking sector's crisis and concerns about a possible recession, the US stock market has demonstrated resilience in the first half of the year.

As we approach the latter half of the year, many questions arise regarding the economy's future. Investors are seeking answers to important inquiries such as:

1. Where is the recession, if any?

2. How rapidly will inflation decrease?

3. Is the current rally enduring?

4. When will the monetary advantages of AI be noticeable?

5. What are the areas of vulnerability?

6. Can equities maintain their position alongside cash and bonds?

During the month of July, we experience a break from the "Sell-in-May-and-go-away" phase. This month also presents a positive trend for technology stocks based on historical data. The NASDAQ and various tech-related ETFs often experience favourable gains during July.

In addition to these trends, July also holds several market-moving events, such as the release of the jobs report, the start of second-quarter earnings, and a significant inflation report. These events add to the anticipation and excitement of the month ahead.

Here are key highlights from last week:

• The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index was lower than expected

• Nasdaq hit a 40-year milestone

• Oil posted a fourth straight quarterly decline

• Bitcoin wicked through $31,000 last week

• Nestle launched NFT collection inspired by Surpresa chocolate

• U.K. addressed diverse uses of digital assets

• Polygon proposed the architecture for “Polygon 2.0”

Get ready for another short week:

As this week is shortened, there may be lower trading volume, which could result in increased volatility. Expect volatility on Friday, July 7th, due to the US jobs report release. It's the most notable economic event this week.

Keep an eye out for these essential medium-to-high impact economic news items:

For the US:

• ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs

• Weekly Jobless Claims

• JOLTS Job Openings

• Non-Farm Payroll Report

• Unemployment Rate Report

On the International Side:

• Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Statement

• Canada Unemployment Rate Report

• OPEC+ Meetings

Additionally, there will be several central bank speeches this week, including:

• European Central Bank (ECB) President Lagarde

• Bank of England (BoE) Governor Bailey

• US Federal Reserve - FOMC Minutes, Williams, and Logan

Next week's anticipated bias (not financial or investment advice):

• Monday (07/03/23) - 1st trading day in July one of top performance days

• Tuesday (07/04/23) - Stock Market closed; Crypto Market is volatile

• Wednesday (07/05/23) - Bearish

• Thursday (07/06/23) - Expect volume coming in

• Friday (07/07/23) - Bullish

Trading Tip: TOTAL needs to be above $1.2T to see a continuation in BTC!

Week 06/25/23 - 07/01/23 Recap

Special Tools and Strategies

It's interesting to note that seasonality has an impact on both climate patterns and financial markets. The four distinct seasons each have their unique characteristics and effects on the environment. Similarly, financial markets also experience seasonal trends that can predictably impact market behavior depending on the time of year. Incorporating these trends into trading strategies can improve investment performance.

Take Bitcoin, for instance!

Based on the power of fours and the November 28th cycles theory by CryptoCon, Bitcoin goes through four distinct periods: the Red Year, the Orange Year, the Green Year, and the Blue Year. During the Red Year, Bitcoin rises to an all-time high. The Orange Year sees the price of Bitcoin trending down in a bear market. The Green Year is a period of accumulation, where prices hit lows called best cycles prices. Finally, during the Blue Year, the price returns to a median and starts to rise, signifying a period of preparation.

Disclaimer: This newsletter is strictly educational. The information provided in this report does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the report’s content as such. Please be careful and do your own res